An equal-weighted portfolio of the 40 largest application software stocks rose 58% over the past year, increasing the S&P500(SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) far behind with a return of 33%. These tech stocks are trading at high valuation ratios as investors bet on fantastic future growth. Artificial Intelligence (AI) was the original inspiration for this boom and quickly disrupted the software industry in a ChatGPT style hat.
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Salesforce (NYSE: CRM) And ServiceNow(NYSE: NOW) are two of the leading names in business software today. Both companies are seizing the AI opportunity with promising results, but which stock is the better buy today?
Let’s see.
Metric
Salesforce
ServiceNow
Market capitalization
$352 billion
$231 billion
52 weeks stock return
42%
63%
Annual sales growth (three-year average)
15.7%
23.7%
Price-earnings ratio (P/E)
60.6
174.7
Price-to-sales ratio (P/S)
9.5
22.1
Data collected from YCharts and Finviz on December 4, 2024.
As you can see from the table above, ServiceNow is growing faster than Salesforce today. However, the two companies operate at different scales. Salesforce’s revenue rose to $36.5 billion over the past four quarters, while ServiceNow’s revenue remained stuck at $10.5 billion. It’s no surprise that the smaller company is growing faster.
But ServiceNow’s market cap is quickly catching up with its larger rival. As a result, the smaller stocks trade at much higher valuation ratios. Whether you look at revenue or profit, ServiceNow looks downright expensive in this combination. It will take many years of superior growth to justify this huge share price premium.
A lot happens behind the scenes of these two companies.
In this week’s third-quarter earnings call, Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff talked about digital labor becoming mainstream and driving a “revolutionary transformation” right now. In the long run, it will be “difficult to fully wrap our heads around” this new market as AI-powered assistants help people with repetitive or data-intensive tasks. A brand new service called Agentforce responds directly to that opportunity and Salesforce already has hundreds of customers.
“Our pipeline is incredible for future transactions,” Benioff said. “We’ve never seen anything like this before. We don’t know how to characterize it. This is truly a moment where productivity is no longer tied to workforce growth, but to this intelligent technology that can scale indefinitely.”
In the coming quarters, AI-powered tools and digital agents will also make their presence known in Salesforce’s other products and services. The lessons learned from customer interactions will help Salesforce run its own business, and vice versa.
Long story short: Salesforce may be on the cusp of a whole new growth spurt, depending on whether customers embrace or reject the Agentforce idea.
In ServiceNow’s third quarter earnings call, ServiceNow CEO Bill McDermott highlighted several factors driving his business forward.
Chief among them is the need for the entire economy to clean up and modernize a hodgepodge of information technology systems, which have emerged over decades from competitive systems and internal development. McDermott sees ServiceNow as the clear leader in this effort, driven by the company’s long operating history and new generative AI tools. In many ways, ServiceNow’s recently released Xanadu platform reminds me of Salesforce’s Agentforce, but this version comes in dozens of industry-specific flavors.
And ServiceNow is already taking the next step into the AI-powered future.
“ServiceNow AI agents can uniquely go beyond prompt-based activities and achieve deep contextual understanding,” said McDermott. He then explained what this jargon means in plain English: “This is like hiring extra workers to support people doing the jobs they never wanted to do in the first place.”
This is ServiceNow’s way of leveraging its AI capabilities and trying to stay a few steps ahead of bigger, but perhaps slower-moving rivals like Salesforce.
I expect both Salesforce and ServiceNow to deliver excellent business results as the AI boom continues. At the same time, ServiceNow appears to have already priced much of its potential growth into the stock. Salesforce could double or triple its stock price without boosting its business — and still appear affordable next to its smaller rival.
So ServiceNow seems like a solid “hold,” or a promising target for small, speculative bets on the idea of a digital workforce. But Salesforce is the clear winner, as its promising AI-driven growth efforts come with a much more affordable stock price. To borrow a quote from Warren Buffett, this is the “great company at a fair price” you should prefer for your long-term investments.
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*Stock Advisor returns December 2, 2024
Anders Bylund has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool holds and recommends positions in Salesforce and ServiceNow. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Better Business Software Stock: ServiceNow vs. Salesforce was originally published by The Motley Fool
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