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World of Software > News > Earth could be saved from ‘city-killer’ asteroid by it hitting MOON instead
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Earth could be saved from ‘city-killer’ asteroid by it hitting MOON instead

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Last updated: 2025/02/17 at 9:09 AM
News Room Published 17 February 2025
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THE MOON could save Earth by blocking a devastating asteroid which is big enough to wipe out a city. 

Asteroid 2024 YR4 is the size of a football pitch and has a 1-in-43 chance of a catastrophic collision with our planet, according to experts.

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The moon has a 0.3% of being hit by Asteroid 2024 YR4Credit: Getty
Illustration of an asteroid impacting Earth, causing widespread destruction.

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Astronomers believe the rock is between 40 and 90 metres wide, and would blow a city-sized crater into the Earth’s crustCredit: SWNS
Illustration of asteroid's possible path to collide with Earth in seven years.

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But new calculations show that there is a possibility of the moon shielding us from a direct impact from the giant rock – even though the odds are slightly slimmer.

The chance of Asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth on 22 December 2032 increased to 2.3% on 7 February.

A direct hit could be as if a 10-megaton nuclear bomb struck Earth.

But the potentially hazardous boulder has a 0.3% chance of colliding with our natural satellite – the moon.

The enormous asteroid has been rated as the highest risk ever recorded by the European Space Agency (ESA).

If this collision were to happen, we would be likely be able to see the effects with our own eyes, according to expert David Rankin.

He said: “There is the possibility this would eject some material back out that could hit the Earth, but I highly doubt it would cause any major threat.”

Rankin, an operations engineer for the University of Arizona’s Catalina Sky Survey, also said a collision with the moon could release more energy than 340 Hiroshima bombs.

“It would likely be very visible from Earth,” he added.

Terrifying video reveals what the impact of city-killer asteroid 2024YR4 hitting Earth in 2032 might look like

Gareth Collins, a planetary science professor at Imperial College London, said “we would be quite safe on Earth,” and added that any material ejected from the initial impact would likely burn up in Earth’s atmosphere on the way down.

This potentially life-saving news comes after experts were discussing deflection methods to stop the impact, including solar lasers, nuclear bombs and kinetic impactors.

The latter would see a spacecraft launch into the trajectory of the asteroid to knock it off its path.

On Friday, a chilling simulation showed what would happen if the city-killing asteroid did hit Earth.

Created by 3D specialist Alvaro Gracia Montoya at MetaBallStudios, the haunting footage shows the impact levelling an entire city.

Illustration of an asteroid impacting a city.

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A chilling simulation showed the asteroid levelling a cityCredit: SWNS
Asteroid 2024 YR4 location indicated by arrow.

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The red arrow points to where asteroid 2024 YR4 would beCredit: AP
Illustration of methods to deflect asteroids, including using nukes, drills, rockets, and gravity tractors.

The moon has been subject to countless asteroid hits in its lifetime, illustrated by its iconic crater-hit surface. 

But if the moon were to take a hit from 2024 YR4, it would be left with a 1.2 miles long crater.

The moon’s largest crater on the other hand, the South Pole-Aitken basin, spans more than 1,500 miles.

Despite this possibility, the chance of the moon acting as a shield to the city-destroying asteroid remains incredibly low.

Rankin also added: “As of now, there is still a 97.9% chance of a miss with respect to Earth.

“When the odds doubled from 1% to 2%, this caused a lot of noise. It’s not the same thing as going from 40% to 80% though. 

“This asteroid is nothing to lose sleep over,” he said.

Asteroid 2024 YR4 observed by the Magdalena Ridge 2.4m telescope.

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Asteroid 2024 YR4 as observed by the Magdalena Ridge 2.4m telescope at the New Mexico Institute of TechnologyCredit: AFP
Map showing the potential impact zone of an asteroid.

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