The Los Angeles Dodgers faced elimination twice in the NLDS against the San Diego Padres, but after surviving, the Dodgers have been reinstalled as the favorite to win the World Series. The Dodgers are also a solid favorite (-185) to beat the New York Mets in the NLCS, which starts on Sunday.
Jack Flaherty starts for the Dodgers and he has only made one start in the last 17 days. Flaherty’s last regular-season start was on Sept. 25. The Dodgers had a bye into the NLDS and he pitched Game 2 in that series. Even that was a full week ago.
Whether or not that means Flaherty will be rested or rusty for Game 1 remains to be seen. He gave up four runs and a pair of home runs against the Padres in his last outing. He also gave up 10 runs in his last 14 innings of the regular season.
Kodai Senga starts for the Mets, but he likely won’t go deep into the game. Senga made his second appearance of the entire season in Game 1 of the NLDS. In that outing, he gave up a leadoff home run to Kyle Schwarber, but that was the only hit he allowed over two innings of work.
Before this series starts, the Dodgers (+170) are slightly favored ahead of the New York Yankees (+180) as the favorite to win the World Series on BetMGM. The Mets are +400 to win it all and Cleveland is the longshot at +500.
Here’s a look at the odds and projections from The Bat X for Sunday’s Game 1.
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New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers — Game 1
Series odds: Dodgers -185, Mets +150
Game 1 pitching matchup: Kodai Senga (NYM) vs. Jack Flaherty (LAD)
How to watch Mets at Dodgers
- Venue: Dodger Stadium — Los Angeles
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- TV: FOX
- Streaming: Fubo (try for free)
MLB game projections from THE BAT X
In the tables below, you’ll see details for each MLB matchup, then a lot of numbers (which are updated all day):
- “Moneyline” shows each team’s odds on BetMGM.
- “Implied Win%” is the chance a team has to win based on those BetMGM odds.
- “THE BAT X win%” is the chance a team has to win based on EV Analytics’ projections.
- “Cash Line” is how THE BAT X would price each team’s odds.
- “Value” is the percentage difference between the odds chances and our projections.
The higher the value percentage, the better — which you can easily see from the color coding from red (bad pick) through to green (good pick).
Note: On mobile, you may have to scroll to see the color-coded “Value” column on the far right of the first set of tables.
Another note: If you’re seeing old data or the tables aren’t showing up, you may need to “hard refresh” this page, or you may have an ad blocker or other software blocking the tables from loading.
(Photo of Shohei Ohtani: Harry How / Getty Images)
