According to one key chart from the report, however, the decline in talent headed to the US first started back in late 2022 and has only accelerated since then. Now, we’ve finally reached the point where the amount of talent leaving the US is matching the amount that’s moving to the US, with a trend heading towards a future of brain drain.
Other AI Talent Winners and Losers
The report has a host of additional fascinating takeaway, too. First, they predict India will stop exporting talent and start gaining it instead. Major players in Europe and the Gulf States will also benefit, spurring investments in those countries.
Within the US, Google will come out ahead, taking “the dominant share of top LLM developers,” thanks to its current 35% market share, which positions it for long-term dominance in the AI space. Competitors OpenAI and Meta are not as well positioned.
Similarly, NVIDIA’s dominance will help it stay afloat as well, so the massive AI chip company is expected to keep attracting top talent.
Medical research, however, won’t do so well: “Technology companies will continue to recruit neuroscience and DNA nanotechnology experts at an alarming rate, putting medical research in these fields at a distinct disadvantage,” the report explains. In contrast, the defense sector will keep chugging along with autonomous warfare development.
