The ability of artificial intelligence technologies to replace the tasks that humans so far remains a hot topic. As models and assistants of AI improve, their impact on society will increase more and more, in all sectors including the future of jobs.
One of the tasks on which there has been more debate is software development. During a recent interview at the SXSW conference, the IBM CEO, Arvind Krishna, said IA will not replace programmers in the near future. Instead, he believes that these technologies will serve as a powerful tool to improve their productivity, allowing developers to work more efficiently.
Krishna estimates that AI could write between the 20 and 30 percent of the total project codebut insists that his role in more complex tasks will remain minimal. Their opinions contrast with the predictions of the leaders of the AI sector. For example, Dario Amodei, executive director of Anthropic, has predicted that AI could generate up to 90% of the code in the next three to six months. On the other hand, Marc Benioff, Executive Director of Salesforce, has suggested that his company could fail to hire traditional engineers by 2025 due to the increase in productivity driven by AI.
AI and programmers: net positive factor
Both underline the importance of human experience and are actively training their workforce to effectively collaborate with AI tools. Krishna’s perspective coincides more with Benioff’s, emphasizing that IA will improve productivity instead of eliminating programming jobs. “If 30% more code can be produced with the same number of people, will more code or less be written?”Krishna wonders, understanding that this greater efficiency will promote the development of new products.
Establishing historical parallels, Krishna compares the current debates about AI with past concerns about the replacement of mathematicians with calculators or artists from creative applications such as Photoshop. The CEO recognizes unsolved challenges, such as intellectual property problems related to training and AI results, but considers AI as a Net positive factor that will improve the quality of the products in all sectors.
Krishna also predicts that AI will be significantly more energetically efficientciting emerging techniques of companies such as the Chinese startup of the Deepseek. The Executive visualizes a future where AI consumes “Less than one percent of the energy he uses today”making it more accessible and profitable.
However, Krishna is skeptical about the potential of AI to promote revolutionary scientific discoveries or generate completely new knowledge. “The AI learns from already existing knowledge, literature, graphics … does not try to guess what will come next,” says the IBM CEO in an opinion that contrasts with others such as the Openai CEO, Sam Altman, who has suggested that a “IA superinteligente» It could arise in the near future and play a crucial role in the acceleration of innovation.
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