At the Morgan Stanley Technology, Media and Telecom conference in downtown San Francisco Wednesday, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said his companyβs recent investments in OpenAI and Anthropic are likely to be its last in both, saying that once they go public, the opportunity to invest in a βconsequential company like thisβ closes.
It could be that simple. While firms sometimes pile into companies until practically the eve of their public debut in search of more upside, Nvidia is minting money selling the chips that power both companies β itβs not like it needs to goose its returns by pouring even more money into either one.
Asked for comment earlier today following Huangβs remarks, a spokesman pointed News to a transcript from Nvidiaβs fourth-quarter earnings call, where Huang said all of Nvidiaβs investments are βfocused very squarely, strategically on expanding and deepening our ecosystem reachβ β which it has presumably already accomplished with its earlier stakes in both companies.
Still, a few other dynamics might also explain the pullback. Industry watchers have repeatedly flagged that investing heavily in your own biggest customers creates circular, conflicted arrangements that could have negative downstream effects. When Nvidia first announced it would invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI last September, MIT Sloan professor Michael Cusumano described it to the Financial Times as βkind of a wash,β observing that βNvidia is investing $100 billion in OpenAI stock and OpenAI is saying they are going to buy $100 billion or more of Nvidia chips.β
That circular logic may help explain why Nvidia ultimately pared back that commitment. The investment it finalized just last week, as part of a $110 billion round, came in at $30 billion β well short of the $100 billion it had once pledged. On Wednesday, Huang acknowledged as much, saying investing the full amount is βprobably not in the cards.β Some have posited that bad blood between the two companies could also be a factor, a suggestion Huang has called βnonsense.β Whatever the case, Nvidiaβs relationship with Anthropic has looked fraught in its own right.
Just two months after Nvidia announced a $10 billion investment in November alongside a βdeep technology partnershipβ with Anthropic, CEO Dario Amodei took the stage at Davos and, without naming Nvidia directly, compared the act of U.S. chip companies selling high-performance AI processors to approved Chinese customers to βselling nuclear weapons to North Korea.β (Those chip companies are Nvidia and AMD.)
Itβs also worth noting what else happened this week. Huangβs comments come just days after the Trump administration blacklisted Anthropic, barring federal agencies and military contractors from using its tech after the company refused to allow its models to be used for autonomous weapons or mass domestic surveillance.
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Within hours of that announcement, OpenAI struck its own deal with the Pentagon β a move Anthropic has called βmendaciousβ and the public appears to have viewed similarly. Within 24 hours, Claude had shot to the top of Appleβs U.S. App Store, overtaking ChatGPT. (At the end of January, Anthropic was outside the top 100, according to Sensor Tower data.)
Where that leaves Nvidia is holding stakes in two companies that, at this particular moment, are pulling in very different directions β one newly aligned with the Defense Department, and the other blacklisted by it.
Whether Huang saw any of this coming, given Nvidiaβs web of partnerships, is impossible to know. But his stated reason on Wednesday for likely pulling the plug on future investments β that the IPO window closes the door on this kind of deal β is hard to square with how late-stage private investing actually works.
Whatβs looking more probable, given everything thatβs unfolded in recent days, is that this is an exit from a situation that has gotten really complicated, really fast.
